Overview
H&A was engaged to conduct a Travel Risk Assessment (TRA) for a client planning a visit to Sorong and Manokwari in West Papua, Indonesia. The TRA aimed to provide risk mitigation measures, emergency contacts, and security protocols to ensure a safe and informed visit.
Challenges
The client faced several key risks when planning travel to West Papua:
- Potential civil unrest and separatist conflict, particularly involving the West Papua National Liberation Army (TPNPB).
- Natural disasters, including earthquakes, landslides, and flooding, which could disrupt travel.
- Crime, including petty theft and robbery.
- Infrastructure limitations in medical facilities and emergency services, which could hinder responses during emergencies.
Given the fluid security situation in West Papua, H&A’s TRA needed to provide up-to-date intelligence and actionable risk mitigation strategies.
Our Approach
H&A’s analysts conducted a desktop review of relevant open-source intelligence (OSINT) and engaged with local sources to gather real-time data. The TRA focused on five key areas:
- Risk Overview of West Papua
- Location specific Risk Assessments for Sorong and Manokwari
- Emergency Services Contact Information
- Recommended Risk Mitigation Measures
- Vaccination and Health Advisory
The methodology involved qualitative risk analysis using a Risk Matrix to categorise threats by probability and consequence level.
Key Findings
- Separatist conflict poses a moderate risk in rural areas but remains low in Sorong and Manokwari. Demonstrations are rarely violent but can escalate.
- Crime is primarily petty theft and robbery, with low risk of violent crime or kidnapping.
- Natural disasters (earthquakes, floods, landslides) are a high risk and can disrupt travel and emergency responses.
- Healthcare and emergency services are limited, especially outside urban areas.
Recommended Risk Mitigation Measures
- Maintain communication via satellite phone or GPS tracking apps.
- Use multiple vehicles for travel and carry emergency supplies (water, food, breakdown kit).
- Avoid rural areas and high-risk sub-districts, such as Amban in Manokwari.
- Familiarise drivers with alternative routes and evacuation plans.
- Carry ID, travel permits, and vaccination certificates.
- Monitor local media for real-time updates
Outcome
H&A delivered a comprehensive written report, enabling the client to make informed travel decisions. The Travel Risk Assessment (TRA) provided:
- Detailed risk assessments for Sorong and Manokwari.
- Actionable recommendations for risk mitigation.
- Emergency contact information for local services.
The client was able to proceed with their travel plans with confidence while minimising potential risks through H&A’s recommended protocols.
Impact
- The client successfully conducted their travel to West Papua without incident.
- H&A’s risk intelligence helped the client navigate complex security challenges in a fluid environment.
- The client enhanced its travel protocols and emergency preparedness, ensuring long-term safety measures for future travel.
This case highlights H&A’s capability to deliver detailed risk intelligence assessments, providing clients with timely, actionable insights to ensure safe operations in high-risk environments.